A player-tracked tally of 13,250 wild spawns at an in-person Pokémon GO Wild Area event recorded 282 Shiny Pokémon, or about 1 in every 47 encounters. The tracker set out to compare proposed odds of 1 in 48, 1 in 64, and 1 in 128, and the sample came closest to 1 in 48. It is an observed result, not an official odds rate.
Shiny Rate: In-Person Go Wild Area
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Species results varied. Skarmory had 6 Shinies among 146 checks, about 1 in 24. Shellder had 13 among 430 and Axew had 14 among 458, both about 1 in 33. At the other end, Galarian Stunfisk had 1 among 151 checks and Applin had 1 among 153.
Some smaller groups recorded no Shinies. The tally found none among 105 Sizzlipede checks or 51 Walrein checks. Latias had 2 Shinies among 20 sightings, while Latios had none among 14. These are results from the tracked encounters, not proof of each species’ underlying odds.
Excluding Latias and Latios, the tally recorded 280 Shinies across 13,216 spawns, which also rounds to 1 in 47. The total still reflects one player’s tracked encounters.
Did a particular species stand out in your Wild Area Shiny haul? For more community-tracked Pokémon GO findings, stay connected on X, Bluesky, YouTube, Instagram, Steam, and Telegram.
Pokémon Go
Developed by Niantic Labs, The Pokémon Company
Pokémon Go is an augmented reality mobile game that uses GPS to let players locate, capture, train, and battle Pokémon in real-world locations. Players explore their physical surroundings to find PokéStops for items, battle at Gyms for team control, participate in Raid Battles cooperatively, and compete in the Go Battle League's player-versus-player format. The game is free-to-play with in-app purchases and features Pokémon from across multiple generations of the franchise.
- Genre Role-playing (RPG), Simulator
- Platforms Android, iOS
- Perspective Third person, Bird view / Isometric, Side view
- Modes Single player, Massively Multiplayer Online (MMO)
- Release July 6, 2016
- Publisher Niantic Labs
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Age Rating
